Monday, March 16, 2015

Morning Line Odds for PCTI Captaincy

97:1 Abe

While the odds clearly show that no part of me thinks this will happen, this is actually my favorite scenario. Rather than letting the guy who is historically PCTI's most well-decorated and successful player move on from the one year when things went HISTORICALLY bad, Ben chooses to twist the knife and put Abe right back in a front and center position. Why let him move on? Especially when conventional PCTI wisdom tells us that if not a captain, he will slide in the hierarchy to a place where he suddenly becomes a great value guy in a spot perfectly tailored for him to exceed expectations and succeed. Twist the knife some more, twist it! 

92:1 Spot-Unit

This one is simple. Why would you willingly choose to play against the best value pick in the draft and a guy who is destined to be a great captain? I'd go so far as to say that if Ben did tap Spotlight, it would be a show of arrogance on his part. You mean to tell me that you not only think you can win without him, you think you can take him down mono-a-mono? Won't happen.

83:1 Wes

Wouldn't exactly inject PCTI with the shot of adrenaline that it so desperately craves. Wes did just get married, and while we offer him our most sincere congratulations, this would only further distract him from the importance of PCTI.

83: 1 BMAC


Also among the recently newly weds. I'd never thought about this until 20 seconds ago, but a BMAC captaincy would be pretty interesting. Other than Actor, who we know he loves, do any of us know where we truly stand with McKinney? I think he likes Dan but I'm not positive. Everyone else, I have no idea. I don't see Ben tapping BMAC, but it would be a good twist.  

65:1 Smo

A friendship that used to be so thick...what happened? Ben knows one way to NOT strengthen a relationship with Smo is to put him in a position of responsibility. Plus, it's just hard to imagine Ben and Smo going heads up against each other all off season, not those two. If Ben were to pick his one time BFF, to me that would be the ultimate, “F you, what is broken can never be fixed” move. 

35:1 Big Bam

I always seem to be at the center of things (because I put myself there) and smart money says that Ben's creativity will take him a little more out of the box than picking everyone's favorite 8 and 8 man. There is the interesting subplot that Ben and I have never played on the same team together and he could guarantee that not happening for another season. But then again, he also can do that by simply not drafting me. 

15:1 Act

Besides his off the charts comedic timing and vaguely good looks, the thing that most sticks out about Act is his competitiveness. Last time he was captain, he helped give us PCTI's most competitive weekend. The Act is licking his wounds after last season and my guess is, would like nothing better than to control the makeup of his squad in this season's revenge campaign. This could also be a shrewd pick by Ben to help his own cause. Considering how last year went down and Act's well publicized ability to hold a grudge, choosing Act as captain would insure that Ben could wait until the final round of the draft to scoop up Abe. And that is some serious value.  

14:1 HOPS

Hops isn't afraid to campaign and we know that he has no trouble getting Ben's ear. Is he pulling strings behind the scenes? I can envision a scenario where Hops becomes captain and uses a late round draft pick to select someone from outside of PCTI from his vast network of basketball friends. A power move to replace Bruise. A la Red Aurbach drafting Larry Bird before his senior season at Indiana State.

12:1 Sabin

The story line is just so good. PCTI's two most well publicized losers going head to head. One of them would win, yes. But one of them would also lose...again. Not too long ago PCTI's unquestioned heart and soul man, Sabin now seems like a shell of his former self. Would this scenario set up the ultimate final chapter in the story of one of PCTI's greatest and most divisive leaders? Either he goes out like John Wayne, riding out in to the sunset in a blaze of glory and gunpowder or he goes out like Old Yeller behind the shed. OR, it interjects him with a shot of energy and Sabin transforms in to veteran Kobe Bryant “I don't give a damn, I'm older than you” mode for the next decade.

7:1 DTOMYS

It's pretty clear that DAN has taken it upon himself to grease the wheels of the PCTI freight train. For an ordinary person, that would mean making a campaign for the captaincy. But DAN has a certain Ric flair about the way he operates, and I don't think it will be that simple. No question DAN has been in Ben's ear, but I doubt it's to campaign for himself. Dan is Thurlow Weed, the consummate political boss. The puppeteer yanking on the strings like it's an N*SYNC music video. So the question is, who is his Abraham Lincoln or JC Chasez? I am still keeping the odds low, just in case he turns inward, but smart money stays away from DAN at this price.

4:1 Cockboy

What better way to welcome back one of PCTI's all time characters than to give him a starring role? It's actually kind of hard to believe that Don hasn't held the captaincy before. This pick seems to make sense on several levels. Would it hurt Donley that he didn't witness the action from a year ago?


 

3 comments:

  1. I liked the part where you don't get to see your odds until you select Nature Boy Host, adds to the intrigue

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  2. I also like the idea of BC and Ben never playing together... Other than last year... And year 1... Which accounts for 40% of PCTI's.

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  3. Don't forget about PCTI IV in Scottsdale. It's actually 60%.

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